Where NYC bus priority deserves closer evaluation

Liam Blank

June–August 2026 · Local, Limited, and Select Bus Service. Operating speeds use weekdays and both directions. Rider measures use passenger-weighted, modeled unlinked bus rides across Peak and Off-Peak periods, with signed additional time retained.

  1. Waiting drives the rider-time burden.

    Modeled bus rides accumulated 7.52 million additional rider-hours relative to the timetable. Waiting accounts for 84% of that signed net total: 6.32 million hours waiting and 1.21 million hours onboard.

    Calculation 1
  2. Journey reliability leaves substantial room for improvement.

    71.3% of modeled rides finished within five minutes of the scheduled journey time.

    Calculation 2
  3. Afternoon service is slower than morning service.

    Weekday buses averaged 7.07 mph from 4–7 PM, versus 7.72 mph from 7–9 AM—a 8.3% speed difference.

    Calculation 3
  4. Manhattan has the slowest borough-assigned bus service.

    Manhattan routes averaged 6.17 mph on weekdays, compared with a network average of 7.73 mph.

    Calculation 4
  5. The slowest crosstown routes concentrate street-level delay.

    The M50 averaged 4.72 mph, the M57 4.86 mph, and the M42 4.95 mph. Explore their stop pairs to locate the slowest streets and compare hours.

    Calculation 5
  6. Select Bus Service has a higher observed speed.

    SBS averaged 8.97 mph versus 7.56 mph for Local service, a 18.6% difference across the observed route groups. Use corridor-specific before-and-after comparisons to estimate intervention effects.

    Calculation 6
  7. Evaluate continuous priority on Church Avenue.

    B35 rides accumulated 119,855 additional rider-hours while weekday buses averaged 5.70 mph. The current-inventory dedicated-lane match is 1.4% of eligible recorded bus-miles. Examine continuity between Nostrand and Utica Avenues and the Kings Highway approaches as NYC DOT and MTA develop Church Avenue improvements.

    Calculation 7
  8. Evaluate Flatbush beyond the center-running project.

    B41 rides accumulated 122,726 additional rider-hours; weekday buses averaged 6.52 mph. The current-inventory lane match is 2.6% of eligible recorded bus-miles, compared with 5.1% networkwide. Evaluate continuity south of Grand Army Plaza and measure the Livingston–Grand Army Plaza project after completion.

    Calculation 8
  9. Use Tremont’s summer performance as a baseline.

    Bx36 rides accumulated 143,667 additional rider-hours; weekday buses averaged 6.16 mph, and 65.3% of modeled rides finished within five minutes of schedule. The Tremont busway opened September 23. Evaluate its post-opening performance and priority connections west of Webster Avenue and east of Southern Boulevard.

    Calculation 9
  10. Test operating-time opportunities at the street level.

    A uniform 15% reduction applied to all recorded B41 weekday segment travel minutes gives 4,608 bus-hours saved across the quarter. This scenario assumes the reduction. In the explorer, select specific streets and change the percentage to test a focused intervention.

    Calculation 10

Lane comparisons use the October 1 inventory and route shapes valid during the observation month. Unknown matching inputs are excluded from the lane denominator; 97.4% of weekday recorded bus-miles are eligible. The inventory omits the newly opened Tremont busway. Evaluate that project using its documented boundaries and post-opening observations.

Project records: Flatbush · Tremont · PriorityPlans